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Weekly Real Market Update: Denver Metro Area

The Denver metro market is sending increasingly clear signals as we move into the back half of summer. Inventory is still below last year but growing — and unlike 2025, it has not yet peaked and reversed. Pending contracts have now come in below last year’s pace for 13 consecutive weeks, showings remain soft, and price reduction rates continue to climb. Closed prices are falling year-over-year across every property type. The data this week tells a consistent story: the market is shifting in the buyer’s favor, and sellers who don’t price ahead of that shift are experiencing it the hard way.

Active Inventory

12,621 Active Listings

Week over week
+0.7%
Continuing to grow
vs. last year
-4.4%
Deficit steadily narrowing
Since July 4th
+1%
vs. -5% last year
Last year, inventory peaked the weekend before the 4th of July and fell 5% from there. This year it has grown 1% over the same stretch. The deficit vs. last year is narrowing, and if new listing activity holds its current pace, the overall inventory gap that has persisted since late March could close by early fall.

New Listings

1,151 New Listings — Activity Stabilizing

New listings
1,151
+2.1% week over week
vs. last year
+2.3%
4 of last 7 weeks above LY
Denver condo share
55%
Highest since Dec 2025

After declining year-over-year in 13 of 14 weeks earlier this year, new listing activity has stabilized over the past seven weeks. Gains in four of those weeks point to a gradual reversal of the supply contraction that defined the first half of 2026.

One segment worth watching: 55% of all new condo listings last week were in the City of Denver — the highest concentration since December 2025 — and 50.3% of all actively listed metro condos are currently in Denver. That level of geographic concentration in an already-soft segment bears monitoring.

Median original list price:

  • SFR: $660,000
  • Condo: $339,000
  • Townhome: $472,500

Showings

Demand Signals Weakening

Total showings
14,220
-7.5% vs. last year
Showings per listing
1.21
vs. 1.24 last year
Weeks below last year
7 straight
5 of the last 9
Showing traffic has been below last year’s pace for seven consecutive weeks. At 1.21 showings per listing, demand is thin. If this trend holds into September, months of supply across all property types will continue climbing.

Pending Contracts

797 New Contracts — 13th Consecutive Week Below Last Year

New contracts
797
-2.1% week over week
vs. last year
-10%
13 consecutive weeks lower
Median days to contract
33
Now matches last year

The contrast with the first half of 2026 is stark. Over the first 13 weeks of the year, pendings ran 3.9% above last year’s pace. Over the last 13 weeks, they are 6.8% below it.

For 10 consecutive weeks, median days to contract had been running below last year by an average of 4.5 days — a sign that well-priced homes were still finding buyers quickly. That streak ended this week, with median DOM matching last year exactly at 33 days. It’s an early indicator that the pricing buffer the market had is beginning to erode.

Median days to contract by property type:

  • SFR: 24 days
  • Townhome: 27 days
  • Condo: 42 days — 50% of condo contracts were on market more than 60 days, including 25% beyond 120 days

For SFR, the time-to-contract breakdown shows a market that still rewards accurate pricing:

  • 22% were under contract in 7 days or less
  • 34% in 15 days or less
  • 52% in 30 days or less
  • Only 7% were on the market longer than 120 days

Closings

720 Closings — Prices Falling Year-Over-Year

Total closings
720
-6.4% vs. last year
Consecutive weeks below LY
5
7 of the last 8 weeks
YTD total
25,000+
Still -3% vs. last year
SFR Condo Townhome
Median closed price $640,000 $302,500 $435,000
vs. last year -3.0% -6.9% -7.5%
Median days on market 21 47 38
Concession rate 63.4% 57.3% 75.4%
Median concession 1.7% 2.9% 1.9%
Net ratio (after concessions) 96.8% 93.7% 94.4%
Closed over asking (gross) 16.9% 7.3% 5.8%
Closed over asking (net) 11.2% 3.7% 4.3%
The net closing ratio tells the real story. After concessions, SFR homes are closing at 96.8% of list, condos at 93.7%, and townhomes at 94.4%. A 93.7% net ratio on a $302,500 condo means the typical seller is netting roughly $19,000 less than their asking price once concessions are factored in — before closing costs. Meanwhile, while 16.9% of SFR homes appear to close above asking, only 11.2% actually do once concessions are applied.

Price Reductions

56.3% of Active Listings Have Reduced — 21 Consecutive Weeks Rising

All listings reduced
56.3%
21 straight weeks rising
SFR vs. last year
-4.7%
Largest SFR gap of 2026
Attached vs. last year
-2.0%
Largest attached gap of 2026

Median reduction by property type: SFR 4.0%  |  Condo 5.4%  |  Townhome 4.1%

Cities over 60% reduced

Highlands Ranch 71.1%
Lakewood 71.0%
Commerce City 61.7%
Thornton 60.7%

Dropped below 50%

Westminster 49.0%
Erie 47.9%

Improving over 5 weeks

  • Centennial: 65.1% → 58.8%
  • Morrison: 62.5% → 56.5%

Worsening over 5 weeks

  • Golden: 47.2% → 57.8% (+10.6%)
  • Lakewood: 62.0% → 71.0% (+9.0%)
  • Evergreen: 48.3% → 55.6% (+7.3%)
  • Commerce City: 55.5% → 61.7% (+6.2%)

Months of Supply

Rising Across All Property Types

SFR
Closed MSI3.0
Pending MSI (now)3.05
Pending MSI (4 wks ago)2.64

Condo
Closed MSI6.8
Pending MSI (now)7.52
Pending MSI (4 wks ago)7.13

Townhome
Closed MSI3.3
Pending MSI (now)5.27
Pending MSI (4 wks ago)5.29

The improvement in closed MSI this week is partly a function of the holiday-driven inventory dip around the 4th of July, not a reflection of strengthening demand. With showing traffic running below last year and pendings down 10% year-over-year, these numbers are likely to keep moving higher through the end of summer.

The Big Picture

The weight of this week’s data points in one direction. Inventory is growing, listings are sitting longer, price reductions are at a 2026 high, showings are soft, and closed prices are falling year-over-year across every segment. The 10-week streak of median contract DOM running below last year has ended — meaning the speed advantage that well-priced homes enjoyed earlier this year is fading.

The condo market remains the most challenged, with 93.7% net closing ratios and 50% of contracts taking more than 60 days to find a buyer. SFR is holding up better — a 96.8% net ratio and 24-day median contract time — but even there, the absorption rate and showing data point toward further softening.

For sellers, the lesson from both the expired listing data and the price reduction trends is clear: the market is not going to meet an overpriced home halfway. For buyers, the leverage is real — and growing.

Based on information from REcolorado®, Inc. for the period August 2 through August 8, 2026. This representation is based in whole or in part on content supplied by REcolorado®, Inc. REcolorado®, Inc. does not guarantee nor is it in any way responsible for its accuracy. Content maintained by REcolorado®, Inc. may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.

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